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  • Retail
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  • Residential
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    CTO Realty Growth Announces Sale of Single Tenant Office Property in Reston, Virginia For $18.5 Million -October 02, 2023 at 07:31 am EDT

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    Taking a closer look | News, Sports, Jobs

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  • Industrial
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    This Week’s Dallas-Fort Worth Deal Sheet (October 10, 2023)

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    Investment firm KKR sells $560 million of U.S. industrial real estate, including Lehigh Valley properties | Lehigh Valley Regional News

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    Texas couple arrested for selling exotic cubs and violating the Big Cat Act, authorities say

    Land Bank board members need to show up and do their job

    Land Bank board members need to show up and do their job

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  • Home
  • News
    Property Tax Rally held at Montana State Capitol

    Property Tax Rally held at Montana State Capitol

    Aviva and Socius to develop £1bn south London cancer research hub | News

    Aviva and Socius to develop £1bn south London cancer research hub | News

    Property Forum Awards 2023 – Shortlist announced

    Property Forum Awards 2023 – Shortlist announced

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    International Real Estate Report Highlights Portugal’s Thriving ‘Property Hotspots’

    Irwin Mitchell adds Keith Davidson to ESG practice | News

    Irwin Mitchell adds Keith Davidson to ESG practice | News

    Mitiska REIM raises €168 million | Property Forum

    Mitiska REIM raises €168 million | Property Forum

    Cavalry Barracks developer goes into administration | News

    Cavalry Barracks developer goes into administration | News

    Warehouse supply in Poland hits all-time high | Property Forum

    Warehouse supply in Poland hits all-time high | Property Forum

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  • Retail
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    Best years ahead for Hong Kong retail industry as patience needed for post-Covid recovery, Wharf group says

    Allsup’s in Waco; Stay Classy pauses; $344M in unclaimed property; state tennis

    Allsup’s in Waco; Stay Classy pauses; $344M in unclaimed property; state tennis

    Garbanzo Mediterranean Fresh inks 1,700 sq. ft. lease at ShopRite-anchored plaza in Delran

    Garbanzo Mediterranean Fresh inks 1,700 sq. ft. lease at ShopRite-anchored plaza in Delran

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    BPF calls for empty rates relief extension | Features and analysis

    Staunton streetscaping, Buc-ee’s confirmed and library happenings: The Digest

    Staunton streetscaping, Buc-ee’s confirmed and library happenings: The Digest

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    Vukile targets growth in rural retail

    Why tackling 2 massive redevelopment projects in Muskegon makes perfect sense to Jon Rooks

    Why tackling 2 massive redevelopment projects in Muskegon makes perfect sense to Jon Rooks

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  • Residential
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    Construction to renovate Archer School into affordable housing ramps up

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    HUD Announces Over $30 Million to Combat Housing Discrimination Nationwide

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    LA Housing Department Proposes Increasing Residential Hotel Enforcement — ProPublica

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    Overall private residential property prices remained broadly flat amid lower sale transaction volume in 3Q2023

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    US office prices headed for ‘severe crash,’ investors say

    CTO Realty Growth Announces Sale of Single Tenant Office Property in Reston, Virginia For $18.5 Million -October 02, 2023 at 07:31 am EDT

    CTO Realty Growth Announces Sale of Single Tenant Office Property in Reston, Virginia For $18.5 Million -October 02, 2023 at 07:31 am EDT

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    Taking a closer look | News, Sports, Jobs

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    Severe crash coming for US office properties, investors say

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    Dubai property: Office rents, occupancy levels to go up in near term – News

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    DA’s office investigating Michael Baxter & Associates

  • Industrial
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    Tuas Mega Port – driving warehouse demand in West Singapore

    This Week’s Dallas-Fort Worth Deal Sheet (October 10, 2023)

    This Week’s Dallas-Fort Worth Deal Sheet (October 10, 2023)

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    2024 Pre-Roll Consultation Period is Underway

    Investment firm KKR sells $560 million of U.S. industrial real estate, including Lehigh Valley properties | Lehigh Valley Regional News

    Investment firm KKR sells $560 million of U.S. industrial real estate, including Lehigh Valley properties | Lehigh Valley Regional News

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    Australian Property Journal’s sales and leasing transactions wrap

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    Industrial Tenants Flee Sydney High Rents, Space Shortages

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    Public hearings Monday on Clarkesville budget, millage rate

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    $1.2b commercial, industrial, retail sales in year’s first half: CBRE overview

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    Restaurant Real Estate: October 2023

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    Council hears more on Oasis sports complex

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    Diversified Trust Co Increases Holdings in DiamondRock Hospitality: A Promising Investment Opportunity in the Hospitality Industry

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    ‘Overlooked’ Kilmarnock and Irvine set to receive ‘surprise’ £20m cash injection from UK Government

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    Paving the Way for Sustainable African Development

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    Check in for a greener future at Holiday Inn Express Newcastle | Newcastle Herald

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    Should I rent or buy a home? How to weigh your options – NBC 6 South Florida

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    Seaside haven votes to ban wealthy Londoners from buying holiday lets amid demands they face TRIPLE council tax…but local firms say they need tourists to survive

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    Patrick Kielty and Cat Deeley buy £5 million home in London next to Harry Styles

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  • Selling a Home
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    Australian grandmother scammed out of $750,000 after selling her family home

    You can buy an 8x18ft tiny home on the beach for only $45,500

    You can buy an 8x18ft tiny home on the beach for only $45,500

    Grandma scammed out of nearly $480K after selling family home in fraud scheme

    Grandma scammed out of nearly $480K after selling family home in fraud scheme

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    Texas couple arrested for selling exotic cubs and violating the Big Cat Act, authorities say

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    Land Bank board members need to show up and do their job

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Commercial property wrap Q2 2022

PrR by PrR
2022-08-02
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Commercial property wrap Q2 2022
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  • Full impact of interest rates yet to be seen
  • Anecdotes of renegotiations following rate rises have been seen
  • Industrial likely to continue being significantly undersupplied for some time

As another quarter elapses, we look back at the months that were.

So far it has been characterised by many of the same issues, with “record low” continuing to precede various metrics and keywords including tight supply, low-interest rates, rising rents, construction blow-outs, and more.

Events throughout the quarter did add some caprice to what initially sounded like a broken record, but the full impact of which is yet to be seen.

Interest rates have been moving upwards, however, the cash rate remains low in the broader scheme of things. Construction timelines have been shifted around meaning stock to come online this year looks much thinner, but may be to the relief of some that buildings will come online at all given the concerns surrounding construction more broadly.

Of course, there is still a strong desire to bring office demand back in droves, and it seems that goal is getting closer – occupancy data from the Property Council showed some encouraging signs in June, however more recently that recovery seems to have stalled.

Finally, the search for solid investments in an uncertain world continues to drive the commercial property sector.

This wrap includes information from the Raine and Horne Commercial Insights Q2 2022 (RH), Dexus Australian Real Estate Quarterly Review Q3 2022, and Herron Todd White Month in Review July 2022 (HTW).

Interest rates

Cash rate increases didn’t seem to dampen the spirit of buyers – particularly owner-occupiers, according to Raine and Horne.

The report said that while interest rates normalise, businesses are looking to purchase more than they are leasing. This is because in many cases, it is still cheaper to buy than rent.

“This is driving intense demand from owner occupiers, especially in the industrial property market.”

Raine and Horne Commercial Insight Q2 2022

The Dexus report wrote that: “… rising interest rates have fueled conjecture about real estate pricing going forward given a narrowing of yield spreads.” The report also noted that, historically, interest rate rises over the last four tightening cycles have been just 2.25%.

Aside from the cash rate, the report also took note of the rise in the 10-year bond yield to 3.5% in the latest quarter, stating it “… has implications for confidence and investment markets.”

Herron Todd White’s report said its agents are already seeing sales activity slump as a result of the interest rate rises. The report also noted that over the next few months, “… the market is likely heading into a phase where there will be a noticeable disconnect between vendor expectation and market value.”

Undersupplied

In an attempted smooth segue into the topic of supply, the Dexus report noted under the headline of interest rates, that periods of uncertainty “… may unlock development sites that were previously unavailable.

There will be stiff competition for space though, the Raine and Horne report noted that the boom in residential values has seen some developers going from industrial to industrial chic.

The significant undersupply is also expected to continue, with the Raine and Horne report noting limited development of new industrial estates, and both the Herron Todd White and Dexus reports noting the continued cost of construction concerns.

HTW’s said four key factors have been responsible for the reduced appetite to create new industrial stock: land cost, construction cost, rents, and yields.

To put numbers to construction woes, HTW’s David Walsh wrote that the price of construction has increased by circa 30%-40% over the past year or so.

The cost of land has also ballooned, with Mr Walsh stated “Demand is simply outstripping supply, so premiums are being paid to secure land suitable for development.”

Rents haven’t moved much for about a decade, according to the HTW report. While rents have started to rise, Mr Walsh noted this was principally around prime space in prime locations. The upshot was that rents will have to rise much further before “… development feasibilities stack up.”

Finally, the report said yields are at record lows due to industrial investments being snapped up like hotcakes throughout the pandemic. Mr Walsh noted that tight yields “… translated to premium purchase prices which has been helping mitigate feasibility risks because of increased land values and construction costs.” The next few months will be interesting, Mr Walsh said yields have now peaked in this cycle and are beginning to soften.

“We’ve already seen situations where acquisitions that were agreed in principal prior to interest rate rises are now beginning to be renegotiated.”

David Walsh, Director, Herron Todd White

For full details, please see the reports listed in the introduction.





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